http://mashats.livejournal.com/ ([identity profile] mashats.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] profpr 2012-02-01 05:04 pm (UTC)

20th century reanalysis is basically a stats project, not observed data

they take sparse SLP observations (there were like 1.5 ship tracks in the 1900s) and estimate large scale circulation in the troposphere.

from the abstract: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.776/abstract :
.. It uses an Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation method with background ‘first guess’ fields supplied by an ensemble of forecasts from a global numerical weather prediction model. This directly yields a global analysis every 6 hours as the most likely state of the atmosphere, and also an uncertainty estimate of that analysis.

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