2013: The first 4 astronauts will be selected; a replica of the settlement will be built for training purposes. 2014: The first communication satellite will be produced. 2016: A supply mission will be launched during January (arriving October) with 2,500 kilograms (5,500 lb) of food in a 5 metres (16 ft) diameter variant of the SpaceX Dragon. The fallback if this is not ready in time is either to use a 3.8 metres (12 ft) Dragon or to delay by two years. 2018: An exploration vehicle will launch to pick the location of the settlement. 2021: Six additional Dragon capsules and another rover will launch with two living units, two life support units and two supply units. 2022: A SpaceX Falcon Heavy will launch with the first group of four colonists. 2023: The first colonists will arrive on Mars in a modified Dragon capsule. 2025: A second group of four colonists will arrive. 2033: The colony will reach 20 settlers.
До 2022 года предполагая, что у них есть деньги, план не такой уж нереалистичный, опять же предполагая, что у SpeceX дела пойдут по плану. На счет 2022 года возможно будут корректировки так как 2022 год не самый удачный с точки зрения энергетики перелета (http://www.marsjournal.org/contents/2007/0002/files/wooster_mars_2007_0002.pdf) Возможно, что полет будет перенесен на более поздний срок. Например 2026.
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Date: 2013-01-10 02:07 pm (UTC)2013: The first 4 astronauts will be selected; a replica of the settlement will be built for training purposes.
2014: The first communication satellite will be produced.
2016: A supply mission will be launched during January (arriving October) with 2,500 kilograms (5,500 lb) of food in a 5 metres (16 ft) diameter variant of the SpaceX Dragon. The fallback if this is not ready in time is either to use a 3.8 metres (12 ft) Dragon or to delay by two years.
2018: An exploration vehicle will launch to pick the location of the settlement.
2021: Six additional Dragon capsules and another rover will launch with two living units, two life support units and two supply units.
2022: A SpaceX Falcon Heavy will launch with the first group of four colonists.
2023: The first colonists will arrive on Mars in a modified Dragon capsule.
2025: A second group of four colonists will arrive.
2033: The colony will reach 20 settlers.
До 2022 года предполагая, что у них есть деньги, план не такой уж нереалистичный, опять же предполагая, что у SpeceX дела пойдут по плану.
На счет 2022 года возможно будут корректировки так как 2022 год не самый удачный с точки зрения энергетики перелета (http://www.marsjournal.org/contents/2007/0002/files/wooster_mars_2007_0002.pdf) Возможно, что полет будет перенесен на более поздний срок. Например 2026.
Gregory Benford прорабатывал модель миссии финансируемой частным капиталом в своем романе The Martian Race http://www.sfsite.com/~silverag/martianrace.html