Feb. 15th, 2010

profpr: (Default)
Интервью Dr. Jones
Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming
- Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods.

И заголовок в Daily Mail
Climategate U-turn as scientist at centre of row admits: There has been no global warming since 1995
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Статья в Times (Заголовок остался прежним на перепечатке Fox News)
U.N. Climate Panel Shamed By Bogus Rainforest Claim
A startling report by the United Nations climate watchdog that global warming might wipe out 40% of the Amazon rainforest was based on an unsubstantiated claim by green campaigners who had little scientific expertise.

Первый автор статьи в Nature отвечает журналисту: Они не процитировали моих более поздних работ, на самом деле, все еще хуже.
The IPCC statement on the Amazon is correct, but the citations listed in the Rowell and Moore report were incomplete... After the Rowell and Moore report was released in 2000, and prior to the publication of the IPCC AR4, new evidence of the full extent of severe drought in the Amazon was available. In 2004, we estimated that half of the forest area of the Amazon Basin had either fallen below, or was very close to, the critical level of soil moisture below which trees begin to die in 1998. This estimate incorporated new rainfall data and results from an experimental reduction of rainfall in an Amazon forest that we had conducted with funding from the US National Science Foundation (Nepstad et al. 2004). Field evidence of the soil moisture critical threshold is presented in Nepstad et al. 2007.

Журналист исправляет свою статью:
The UN climate panel and the rainforest claim
A STARTLING report by the United Nations climate watchdog that global warming might wipe out 40% of the Amazon rainforest was based on an unsubstantiated claim by green campaigners who had little scientific expertise...
profpr: (Default)
Some years ago, NASA released the first deep-space photographs of the beautiful cloud-swirled blue-green agate we call earth. A reporter showed one of them to the late Samuel Shenton, then president of International Flat Earth Research Society. Shenton studied it for a moment and said, "It's easy to see how a photograph like that could fool the untrained eye." R.J. Schadewald, 1982. Creation Evolution Journal, 3(3): 12-17.

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