Вот интересный вопрос: привело ли появление спеллчекеров к прогрессированию неграмотности населения :-)
It is absolutely irrelevant in context of moving toward Singularity. Irrelevant in the same way as a hunt-gathering skill is irrelevant in context of life in the modern city. As long as there is a supermarket round the corner, I don’t have to know anything about mushroom picking.
По сути - мне кажется, что вы побороли свой аргумент. Действительно, если развитие новых технологий вызывает появление защиты от некомпетентного исполнителя, то того же самого мы можем ожидать и от средств, которыми пользуются разработчики этих технологий - как пример, я постоянно встречаю студентов, успешно жмущих кнопки в SPSS в процесс работы над своей диссертацией, и вместе с тем не знающих статистики. сингулярность отодвигается все дальше и дальше?
I’m not sure I understand what you mean by “того же самого мы можем ожидать и от средств, которыми пользуются разработчики этих технологий”. Firstly, proficiency of your students may be irrelevant in context of any emerging technologies for a simple reason they are involved in a field not related to any technology. However, it seems unlikely. If we are on a flat end of the Hype curve, an extremely high skill level is not even required thanks to the already emerged technology. The next step will be assisted by someone more able to do so. Probably the most important aspect of moving toward Singularity is that it is not something deliberately driven by someone, unless o course you are on a position of accepting a god hand in the biological evolution. Perhaps it should be seen as a continuation of the human evolution. It won’t be in the domain of biology, but rather in the domain of technology. Paradigm change, so to speak. Thus we can curry on our business as usual, but as long as for whatever reason a right technology emerges, yet another step will be made toward Singularity. Let say we adapt to new conditions by developing new non-biological trades.
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Date: 2012-03-14 03:59 pm (UTC)It is absolutely irrelevant in context of moving toward Singularity. Irrelevant in the same way as a hunt-gathering skill is irrelevant in context of life in the modern city. As long as there is a supermarket round the corner, I don’t have to know anything about mushroom picking.
По сути - мне кажется, что вы побороли свой аргумент. Действительно, если развитие новых технологий вызывает появление защиты от некомпетентного исполнителя, то того же самого мы можем ожидать и от средств, которыми пользуются разработчики этих технологий - как пример, я постоянно встречаю студентов, успешно жмущих кнопки в SPSS в процесс работы над своей диссертацией, и вместе с тем не знающих статистики. сингулярность отодвигается все дальше и дальше?
I’m not sure I understand what you mean by “того же самого мы можем ожидать и от средств, которыми пользуются разработчики этих технологий”. Firstly, proficiency of your students may be irrelevant in context of any emerging technologies for a simple reason they are involved in a field not related to any technology. However, it seems unlikely. If we are on a flat end of the Hype curve, an extremely high skill level is not even required thanks to the already emerged technology. The next step will be assisted by someone more able to do so.
Probably the most important aspect of moving toward Singularity is that it is not something deliberately driven by someone, unless o course you are on a position of accepting a god hand in the biological evolution. Perhaps it should be seen as a continuation of the human evolution. It won’t be in the domain of biology, but rather in the domain of technology. Paradigm change, so to speak. Thus we can curry on our business as usual, but as long as for whatever reason a right technology emerges, yet another step will be made toward Singularity. Let say we adapt to new conditions by developing new non-biological trades.